- Next Tropical Storm name is Gabrielle. 🌀 The Atlantic disturbance now has a 90% chance of development over the next 7 days.

- Invest 92L is underway in the central Main Development Region (MDR) and it is firing off sustained convection over a broad area. NHC has increased the likelihood of TS development to 90%. The Atlantic basin looks “healthier” this evening with more thunderstorm activity helping to moisten the atmosphere and increase instability.
- Don't forget that 2024 had a slow start: — the season started off slow but picked up into mid-September with multiple significant hurricanes. Since ocean temperatures are cooler this year, We expect “average” rather than above average activity to finish up the season.
🌀2025 Hurricane Season Updates:
- Forecast Updates
- Tropical Storm Names
- Could a New Google AI Model Be Foretelling the Path of the First Hurricane of 2025?
- How Many Lives Have Been Saved By Improved Hurricane Forecasts?
Quietest Peak Season since 1939!
We’re experiencing the quietest peak of a hurricane season in our lifetime. The Atlantic hasn’t had a storm in 18 days. The last time the Atlantic went without a storm from August 28th - September 15th was in 1939.
The Essential Tools for Tracking Tropical Storms
When it comes to monitoring developing tropical storms and hurricanes, there are three essential tools you should use:
Core Tracking Tools
- Forecast Cone (NHC): The National Hurricane Center's cone graphic shows the storm's probable path and potential error range. Remember: impacts can occur outside the cone.
- Satellite Imagery: Provides real-time views of cloud structure and organization, helping identify areas of heavy rain and potential intensification.
- Radar: Offers detailed precipitation intensity data and helps pinpoint a storm's center, especially crucial as it approaches land.
Specialized Analysis Tools
- Wind Speed Probabilities: Shows likelihood of tropical storm/hurricane-force winds at specific locations.
- Storm Surge Maps: Critical for coastal residents, displaying flood risk areas from ocean inundation.
- Spaghetti Models: Visualize forecast uncertainty through multiple model tracks.
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
No Current Tropical Activity
There are currently no active tropical systems in the Atlantic basin.
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